Thursday, August 31, 2017

Learn and Unlearn Globalisation - One Belt Road Hongkong Example that Impact the Reduction World Poverty

Learn and Unlearn Globalisation - One Belt One Road Implication on Global Development Continue to be Multidimension. It may be similar with Marshall Plan without War but at several time bigger in magnitude and financial scale.   One Belt One Road is about 50% GDP of economic the world from China, South East Asia, Central Asia and Middle East and Europe.

The source from Honorable Tung Chee Hwa, First Governor of Hongkong Special Administrative to China. (1997 - 2002) He has recently spoken on Asian Society in NewYork, June 2017 that
China US Relationship was anchored Interdependent Relation, Trade and Good growth. Investment US to China. People to people exchange growth.    

Mr. Honorable Tung has given proven track record where China in 1947 to today about 600 Million people in China is lifted of poverty. Life expectant 35 to 76 years old. Infant mortality is drop to 20 %  to 9% and illiteracy language and Education is 80%  to 20%. Six Hundreds millions people has been lifted up of poverty. Essential Infrastructure an Education has been built. China GDP is US$8000 still rank among developing country. Chan has not intention to hegemonic or ideological ambition but to pursue peace and prosperity among her neighbors. China does not need to impose the value to other nations and hegemonic aggression is not on the DNA of Chinese people. Since the Ming Dinasty where China has 30% GDP china empire and expansion never to colonize the territories of others. To Chinese People Peace is above the All. China Military expansion is only for defense purposes and Military expenditure at below 2% GDP comparatively low to any standard. (Video his speak at Asia Society June 2017) 





Transition to a new world order with more diffuse distribution of economic power is under way. This first edition of a new World Bank flagship report, 'Global Development Horizons 2011', focuses on three major international economic trends: the shift in the balance of global growth from developed to emerging economies, the rise of emerging-market firms as a force in global business, and the evolution of the international monetary system toward a multicurrency regime. 

Pursuit of growth opportunities on a global level has meant that the international presence of emerging-market firms in cross-border production, trade, and finance has been on the rise for some time. Emerging and developing counties accounted for 46 percent of international trade flows in 2010, up from 30 percent in 1995. Cross-border mergers and acquisitions originated by firms based in emerging markets represent nearly one-third of global M and A transactions. The risk of investing in emerging economies has declined dramatically, while emerging economies’ financial assets and wealth have expanded: emerging and developing countries now hold three-fourth of all official foreign exchange reserves. 

Despite the large, rapidly growing size of emerging economies and the expanding international presence of emerging-market firms, the role of emerging economies in the international monetary system remains relatively insignificant. No emerging-market currency is used to a great extent in holding official reserves, invoicing goods and services, denominating international claims, or anchoring exchange rates. Virtually all developing countries are exposed to currency mismatch risk in their international trade, investment, and financing transactions. But it appears that this too will change in the coming years. Smoothing the transition to a multipolar monetary environment will be high on the agenda of policy makers, who will face major decisions about whether fundamental reform of the rules of the international monetary system is in order.
The first edition of 'Global Development Horizons' consists of a hard-copy publication and a companion website (http://www.worldbank.org/GDH2011), the latter of which will include the report’s underlying data and methodology, blog postings, and background papers and will incorporate an interactive feature allowing users to explore the scenarios described in GDH 2011. In the future, the site will continue to contribute to international discourse on multipolarity by serving as a repository for related research papers and as a platform for interactive debate among academic, policy, and business institutions concerned with long-term global economic change and its implications for development policy.  

Essay from the year 2011 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: 2, 
Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh, language: English, abstract: The aim of this paper is to outline how the rise of China is re-shaping the business environment for multi-national enterprises (MNEs) and how this is affecting their businesses. The aggrandisement of China to become the second-largest economy in the world occurred already in 2010 and this year it has been estimated that the People’s Republic of China will outrun the United States of America as the biggest manufacturer (Hout and Ghemawat, 2010, p.95). Due to their economic power, the Chinese government is also gaining more political power, which shows the willingness of China to contribute to the Eurozone’s bailout fund (Anderlini, 2011a). Moreover, this shows the significance China has as an economic region for the MNEs. Although the initial approach was primarily to get access to low-wages labour in order to economise the manufacturer cost, this has recently experienced an enormous turnaround. Many enterprises no longer just seek the advantages of low-labour cost in China, but to a greater extent MNEs emphasise the “purchasing power [which] continues to increase [and so] their population is becoming important consumer markets as well” (Cavusgil, Ghauri and Agarwal, 2002, p.2). At the same time China has been undergoing a movement towards a new stage of development. A shifting from a successful low- and middle-tech manufacturing economy to a sophisticated high-tech one has been seen and, as Hout and Ghemawat put it, this has been achieved “by cajoling, co-opting and often coercing Western and Japanese businesses” (2010, p.96). Even though China seems to offer a great opportunity for MNEs to produce and to sell their products, still the MNEs are facing huge challenges due to the provisions of national law.




The deals with globalisation and its effects on society and how it affects individuals and its effects on population, health, diseases, markets, economy and world trade
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Indonesia Hongkong Business Association One Belt One Road (OBOR) -

  
Hong Kong has transformed a poor refugee community into one of the world’s great cities and created a hugely successful economy. As title:  Uneasy Partners,  Author Leo Goodstadt





Think thankers of Indonesia  from Director of Business Development, Entrepreneurs and Academic Project Directors and Landscape Master Planner are on the way to listen and take an opportunity to create and transform his or her brainstorming idea to curate, investable and tradeable  idea as OBOR Perspective has been voiced since October 2013 When Chinese leader Xi Jinping visited Central Asia and Southeast Asia initiative of jointly building the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road in Indonesia. Today forum is Public Private Partnership Introduction. According to Meng Chun, Development Research Center (DRC) : PPP Model is adaptable to the One  Belt One Road Initiative in China, Moreover historically PPP has been implemented by China Central governmnet since 1994  as" Local administrative measures on the concession of municipal public utilities in Huherhaote and Hainan." The reasons are threefold according to Mr. Chun to select PPP framework 

1.   Market-based and an innovative and socialized public service supply management model, and its major character is for fair competition, equal cooperation, risk sharing, and benefit sharing.

2.    The cooperation of related countries outside China  in infrastructure investment and construction is becoming closer. From January to November 2016, the non-financial direct investment made by China's enterprises to 53 countries related to the One Belt and One Road Initiative reached $13.35 billion, accounting for 8.3% of the total amount in the same period; the number of new overseas contracted projects stood at 7367, and the new contract amount reached $100.36 billion, an increase of 40.1% year on year, accounting for 52.1% of the contract amount of China's new overseas contracted projects.

3. Countries and limited participation of social capital, but PPP model as a major innovation in public service supply mechanism has broad prospects.


Hongkong Trade Development Council has invited speakers  Gregoire Bouzereau as Director of Infrastructure and Real Estate Group HSBC to introducing PPP scheme but not yet to detailing study case in South East Asia Indonesia particularly and   Julian Smith as Adviser PT Pricewaterhouse Cooper Indonesia to coordinate  a loose framework of PPP as a way to  share risk and other entity financing project in Indonesia.  As PPP framework has been around in Indonesia project since 2009 as part of Asian Development Bank need to be certified by so the  missing connection (OBOR) Initatives that transform  Proper Financing and Feasibility Study for Investment Realisation.

The Indonesian Research and Development International (IRDI)  under coordinating Board of  Vince Gowan  has leading  as the connector agent from curious independent researcher to one outstanding question to audiences that  somehow able to differentiate pros and cons the financing Build Operate Transfer (BOT) and financing on Public Private Partnership (PPP). The speaker has not able to derive in detail but  more this article provide a basis understanding why PPP financial scheme is in selective choice In Indonesia. Indonesia prior has implemented strategy framework policy PPP to project Implementation since 2005 under Asia Development Bank

The reason why PPP is priority guideline  to One Belt One Road Initiative  is not because Jokowi Government is in favor to China Direct Foreign Investment but more reasons are:

1. Bappenas and its agencies has published a PPP book 2017 with 22 projects description.
3. For more  the North Sulawesi PPP project has been illustrated by Bappenas underlying  are 
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1. Menado Bitung Toll Road (Underconstruction)
2. Development of Bitung International Hub Port (project preparation)
3. Sam Ratulangi Teaching Hospital (project preparation).




From Business to Business, Business to Client today forum by Hongkong Indonesia AssociationTrade has pronounced People to People or Piece of Project to Piece of Project in expecting transformation of   collective idea to a set of  curate and investable  and tradable information for a realization of project.  

Public-Private Partnership Projects in Infrastructure by Delmon that coverage the topic as summarize below: 

Investment in infrastructure is critical to economic growth, quality of life, poverty reduction, access to education, healthcare, and achieving many of the goals of a robust economy. But infrastructure is difficult for the public sector to get right. Public-private partnerships (PPPs) can help; they provide more efficient procurement, focus on consumer satisfaction and life cycle maintenance, and provide new sources of investment, in particular through limited recourse debt. But PPPs present challenges of their own. This book provides a practical guide to PPPs for policy makers and strategists, showing how governments can enable and encourage PPPs, providing a step-by-step analysis of the development of PPP projects, and explaining how PPP financing works, what PPP contractual structures look like, and how PPP risk allocation works in practice. It includes specific discussion of each infrastructure sector, with a focus on the strategic and policy issues essential for successful development of infrastructure through PPPs.

Click Here to Buy it


Monday, August 14, 2017

Colonel Zhou Po has warned of Triggering of War Factor: Security of Others, Fear, Interest



 Colonel Zhou Po said that
Negotiating code conduct for Navigation Marine  in South China Sea to Prevent Measure of Conflict and War. 

Why do wars occur and recur, especially in cases when the decisions involved are made by careful and rational actors? There are many answers to this question. Given the importance of the question, and the wide range of answers, it is essential to have a perspective on the various sources of conflict. 

One is that the costs of war cannot be overwhelmingly high. By that we mean that there must be some plausible situations in the eyes of the decision makers such that the anticipated gains from a war in terms of resources, power, glory, territory, and so forth exceed the expected costs of conflict, including expected damages to property and life. Thus, for war to occur with rational actors, at least one of the sides involved has to expect that the gains from the conflict will outweigh the costs incurred. Without this prerequisite there can be lasting peace.
Second, there has to be a failure in bargaining, so that for some reason there is an inability to reach a mutually advantageous and enforceable agreement. The main tasks in understanding war between rational actors are thus to see why bargaining fails and what incentives or circumstances might lead countries to arm in ways such that the expected benefits from war outweigh the costs for at least one of the sides. A good portion of our overview of the causes of war is thus spent discussing a framework of different bargaining failures. 

According to Author Matthew O. Jackson and Massimo More there are five reasons for bargaining failure:
1. Asymmetric information about the potential costs and benefits of war. 
2. A lack of ability to enforce a bargaining agreement and/or a lack of the ability to credibly commit to abide by an agreement.'
3. Indivisibilities of resources that might change hands in a war, so that not all potentially mutually beneficial bargaining agreements are feasible. 
4. Agency problems, where the incentives of leaders differ from those of the populations that they represent. 
5. Multilateral interactions where every potential agreement is blocked by some coalition of states or constituencies who can derail it.


    

The Glorious Cause is more than just a story of the legendary six-year struggle. It is a tribute to an amazing people who turned ideas into action and fought to declare themselves free. Above all, it is a riveting novel that both expands and surpasses its beloved author’s best work



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Colonel Zhou Po as Ministry of Defense has led on White Paper for Building up confident with South China Sea to alleviate  and win  the idea of South China Sea Terrority Dispute.

Sun Tzu’s ‘The Art of War’ and Machiavelli’s ‘The Prince’ both are fundamentally important works related to the areas of strategic leadership and decision making. Although almost every leader has heard of these works, very few have read them in depth and applied the lessons they contain to their own life. This is a huge oversight. Both books contain wisdom and advice which is applicable to almost any situation a leader finds they are in. Both books have a reputation for being dense and difficult to understand. This is due to the fact that both were written in other languages and for other time periods. It can be difficult to know exactly what Sun Tzu and Machiavelli intended to convey with their words - and even less how to take action on the ideas. This has all changed. For the first time ever, the ideas of The Prince and The Art of War have been combined, updated and presented in a way which is easy to understand in our modern era. Previously hard to interpret concepts have been clarified and shown to be as useful in our own era as they were in the one for which they were originally written. By reading and taking action on this book entitled Sun Tzu & Machiavelli Leadership Secrets by author Anthony D. Jensen, you give yourself the chance to become the most effective leader you can be. You will learn how to use timeless principles of leadership, psychology and power to achieve everything you set out to do. Both your private and professional lives will benefit immensely from understanding and applying the leadership secrets of Sun Tzu and Machiavell

Wednesday, August 9, 2017

What are the points of Admiral Harry Harris to Jakarta? Bilateral Security Order by Fighting Global Terrorism and South China Sea Issues, Is China is ally for U.S - China in finding lost sailor in South China Sea?

What is the points of Admiral Harry Harris to arrive in Jakarta? Bilateral Security Order by Fighting Global Terrorism and South China Sea Issues, Is China a new ally for U.S - China in finding lost sailor in South China Sea? Fighting Global Terrorism and South China Sea Issues has resonated loaudly spoken by Theo Sambuaga, Co Chair USindo while North Korea missile that point everywhere It seem to confuse Indonesia public intelectuality.  
Buy the above book to find Asian Perspective on Global and Regional Order, Contributor is included by Rizal Sukma (Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Jakarta).



A book study of  U.S. senator and Pulitzer Prizewinner, both experts on Southeast Asia, offer a bold new approach to address radical Islam and fight global terrorThe next front in the war on terror is in Southeast Asia, warn Senator Christopher Bond (R-MO) and Lewis Simons, both leading experts on the region. The U.S. has bankrupted its policies in dealing with the Islamic world. As Fundamentalist Islam gains traction in Southeast Asia, backed by Saudi money, the U.S. must act swiftly to re-establish its credibility there and help defuse global terrorism. Bond and Simons present a bold plan to accomplish this key goal by substituting smart power (civilians in sneakers and sandals) for force (soldiers in combat boots) in Indonesia and the other nations of Southeast Asia, home to the world's greatest concentration of Muslims.
As of First Trip to Indonesia Jakarta as Commander of PACOM speaker of Admiral  Harry Harris, Commander, spoke on The United States-Indonesia Bilateral Security Partnership, through U.S. Indonesia Society & American Chamber of Commerce - Financial Hall. Admiral Harry has slightly persuaded strategic partnership that based on common value between U.S and Indonesia: Freedom, Rule of Law which is Indonesia need to improve, Human Right and Religious Diversity.  


 First Visitation to Jakarta by Commander of Chief PACOM

A.  The discourse paragraph of Terrorism and Regional Order. 

Direction of Commander of Pacom that  through multinational collaboration, can we eradicate ISIS and other violent extremist organizations before they spread.This is partnership with a purpose particularly.

Multinational efforts are underway to meet this challenge. Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines are deepening cooperation to fight regional piracy and related kidnapping for ransom in the Sulu Sea. 


1.Indonesia is no stranger to terrorist acts. With the attacks on Bali in 2002, Jakarta last year, and more recently the cold blooded killing of Ramadan revelers in Kampung Melayu, you have felt firsthand the impact of violent extremists.

2. the region has witnessed ISIS-inspired terrorism in Malaysia, Bangladesh, and the Philippines. Sadly, we’re seeing some of this come to fruition right now in the Southern Philippines in Mindanao, where in 2016, Isnilon Hapilon, a commander in the Abu Sayyaf Group, a Philippine-based terrorist organization, was named ISIS emir of Southeast Asia. In just a matter of months, Hapilon started uniting elements of several violent extremist organizations–building a coalition under the black flag of ISIS.

3. These terrorists are using combat tactics that we’ve seen in the Middle East to murder in the city of Marawi in Mindanao – the first time ISIS-inspired forces have banded together to fight on this kind of scale in this region.
It’s clear that foreign fighters are passing their ideology, resources and methods to local, home-grown, next-generation radicals. So Marawi should be a wake-up call and a rallying cry for every nation in the Indo-Asia-Pacific. It’s critical that Indonesia and the U.S. continue our efforts to destroy ISIS sooner rather than later.

B. The discourse paragraph of South China Sea 

Direction of Admiral Harry that  Indonesia should and must protecting natural assets, Indonesia is rightfully focused on the economic and environmental impacts of illegal fishing in your Exclusive Economic Zone off your coasts. As one of the top producers of seafood in the world, you have a vested interest in protecting and maintaining this valuable natural resource for generations to come. This issue can't be solved by just one or two countries - but requires a regional dialogue and regional solution. This is yet another reason why the United States is committed to working with Indonesia and other regional partners in multilateral forums. This is why ASEAN is so important and Indonesia’s voice and leadership in ASEAN are so important.

By that, I think we can praise Chinese efforts to include its help in working with the U.S. Navy this past week to try to find a missing American Sailor lost in the South China Sea…. even as we rightly hold them accountable for not doing enough to influence their North Korean allies. I think we can and should do both. This preposition it is not clear to US -Indonesia collaboration to pursue peace in Korean Peninsula.

I greatly more agree with collaboration of such spoken below that in regards to collaboration of  protecting natural assets, Indonesia is rightfully focused on the economic and environmental impacts of illegal fishing in your Exclusive Economic Zone off your coasts. As one of the top producers of seafood in the world, you have a vested interest in protecting and maintaining this valuable natural resource for generations to come. This issue can't be solved by just one or two countries - but requires a regional dialogue and regional solution. This is yet another reason why the United States is committed to working with Indonesia and other regional partners in multilateral forums. This is why ASEAN is so important and Indonesia’s voice and leadership in ASEAN are so important.

I think we can praise Chinese efforts to include its help in working with the U.S. Navy this past week to try to find a missing American Sailor lost in the South China Sea



Buy Poster 160704-N-NF288-341 SOUTH CHINA SEA Sailors participate in a Freedom 5K run on the flight deck


    

C. The discourse of Bilateral Indonesia - US Security  that propagate the  contribution of  the denuclerization zone of South East Asia (ASEAN) and has been said repeatly  said that the north asia  peace stability must be key player on China but Admiral has emphasized that  key outcome to peaceful Korean Peninsula  not only  China itself all the key outcome.